London-based AI developer Mantic announced a $25 million seed funding round led by Radical Ventures, alongside Microsoft’s venture fund M12, Thinking Machines Lab, and Balderton Capital.
Key Takeaways:
- Historic Victory: Mantic outpaced human forecasters at the summer 2026 Metaculus Cup, accurately assigning probabilities to complex political, economic, and cultural developments.
- Superhuman Edge: Its predictive engine avoids human “herd mentality” bias, successfully predicting political outcomes (such as Colombia’s presidential election) and global trends ahead of human consensus.
- Specialized Architecture: Co-founded in 2024 by former Google DeepMind scientist Toby Shevlane, Mantic fine-tunes frontier AI models specifically for event forecasting via historical backtesting.
- Immediate Demand: Wall Street hedge funds, trading firms, enterprises, and government agencies are already integrating Mantic’s AI for market-making and strategic decision-making.
A major milestone as frontier AI transitions from generating content to predicting real-world outcomes! 📊🔮